NFL Week 3 Betting Preview—New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos

Fans of the Denver Broncos have to be happy with how the season is going so far. Yeah, it would have been nice if Drew Lock had worked out, but it looks like Teddy Bridgewater is up to the task. If the defense can continue to play as well as it has, they might even contend with the Chiefs for the AFC West title. But first things first—they have to take care of their Week Three opponent, the New York Jets.

With a rookie quarterback and head coach and many injuries, the Jets have struggled to get on track this season. But with the potential they have, if the Broncos do not take them seriously, the Jets could pull off an upset win.

New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos, Sunday, 9/26 @ 4:05 PM ETBest Jets Odds Best Broncos Odds 
BetRivers+11 (-114)Spread-10.5 (+100)PointsBet
BetRivers+465Moneyline-588BetMGM
FanDuel Under 41.5 (-105)TotalOver 41.5 (-110)BetMGM

New York Jets

The Jets started the 2021 NFL season off with a ton of hope and promise, but things have quickly gone downhill. Injuries have devastated the defense, but somehow, the unit has not played poorly (T-tenth in scoring)— despite getting little to no help from the offense.

As for the offense, Zach Wilson has struggled, but there have also been moments of brilliance. Of course, there have not been nearly enough such moments. While that is not entirely Wilson’s fault, much of it is. The offensive line has forced him to work on the run more often than not. Only the Dolphins o-line is allowing more pressure than the Jets line.

Losing Mekhi Becton did not help. But injuries are part of the game—and no excuse. It does not help that the running game continues to sputter, much as it has in recent years. But it is hard to say whether the running backs are to blame or the offensive line (probably a bit of both).

As for the defense, despite the injuries the unit has been forced to deal with, it is not bad. They have been stingy with giving up yards (ninth in total yards) and points (t-tenth in scoring defense). The strength of the Jets defense has been the overall play of the front four. Their young cornerbacks have not been too shabby, either. But they could use some help from the safeties and linebackers if they are going to keep this game close.

Denver Broncos

With everyone coming back healthy and some key additions in the secondary, Broncos fans hoped to see their once-proud defense become something worth bragging about this season. Tack on the addition of Teddy Bridgewater to the offense, and fans hoped the offense would finally quit sputtering, too. While it is too soon to say anything definitive about either—so far, things are looking up.

With everyone healthy and some key additions in the secondary, the Broncos defense has turned things around. Through two weeks, they rank third in total defense (251.5 yards/game) and fifth in scoring defense (13.0 points/game). Losing Bradley Chub to an injury for the foreseeable future is not going to help. But as long as Von Miller stays healthy, the pass rush should be just fine.

On the offensive side of the ball, adding Teddy Bridgewater has made a world of difference. Losing Jerry Jeudy early on does not help, but Courtland Sutton seems capable of picking up the slack. With the combined efforts of Melvin Gordon III and Javonte Williams, the Broncos running game is the fifth-best in the league. The downside to this apparent early success is that it has come against two of the worst teams in the NFL, the New York Giants and Jacksonville Jaguars.

So, it is not hard to wonder if the Broncos are as good as they have looked or just a product of their schedule.

Betting Recommendation

Trying to make a case for the New York Jets to win or cover is not easy. The run game is nonexistent. Zach Wilson showed some promise in the second half against a good Carolina defense. But then he followed that up with a dreadful, four-interception game against the Patriots. The Jets defense appears to be good enough to keep them from getting blown out.

But can they generate enough offense to stay within 11 points of the Broncos? Eh—probably not.

Take the Broncos to win via the moneyline and the spread. The payout is not worth the risk of taking the Jets and the points. As for the total, this game will be highlighted by defensive plays with just enough offense for the Broncos to cover the spread—take the under.

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