NCAAF Week 4 Betting Preview—Colorado vs. Arizona State

Things were looking up for the Colorado Buffaloes about a week ago. They followed up an opening week win with a strong showing against an excellent Texas A&M team. While they ultimately lost that game, they had to feel good going into last week’s game against Minnesota. But things did not go so well against the Gophers.

It will not be easy to bounce back against a team like Arizona State this week, but that is exactly what the Buffs will be looking to do. But both sides of the ball will have to play a whole lot better than they did last week for Colorado to upset the Sun Devils. They will have to play better for Colorado bettors just to believe they might cover the spread.

Colorado Buffaloes vs. Arizona State Sun Devils, Saturday, 9/25 @ 10:30 PM ETBest Colorado Odds Best Arizona State Odds 
BetMGM +14.0 (-110)Spread-14.0 (-115)BetRivers
BetMGM +500Moneyline-667BetMGM
BetMGM Under 44.5 (-110)TotalOver 44.5 (-104)FanDuel

Colorado Buffaloes

It was clear what the Buffs would count on this season in their opener against Northern Colorado— their run game and defense. If the other team has trouble scoring with how little time they will have the ball, Colorado’s chances of winning look better. It worked against an FCS team in Week one, and it nearly worked against an FBS powerhouse in Week Two.

After giving Texas A&M everything the Aggies could handle, they had to feel confident going into last week’s game against Minnesota. But after an awful game against the Gophers, the Buffs have to be feeling just the opposite this week. The offense could not do anything against Minnesota (63 total yards), and the defense could not slow down the Gophers offense (441 total yards).

There is more hope for the defense than the offense, but one thing is clear—something needs to change. The offense is too predictable and reliant on the run game. Brendon Lewis is a decent QB as a dual-threat guy, but the passing game is so bad teams simply have to load the box and stop the run.

If the defense can get a little swagger back, they might slow down the Arizona State offense. But whether or they win will depend on what the offense can do. They might have a chance if they can get the run game on track against the Sun Devils 36th ranked run defense. But whether they can win will likely come down to whether Lewis or a different quarterback can throw the ball.

Arizona State Sun Devils

So far, the Sun Devils have looked a lot like last season’s promising squad. The offense still relies on the run game, but it is a little more balanced, averaging 226.3 yards a game on the ground and 213.0 through the air. Defensively, they are still looking tough, but the level of their competition has to be considered. UNLV and Southern Utah are not exactly strong teams.

This season, BYU does not look like a very tough team, either. But Arizona State was forced to throw more since they were playing from behind. They ran well when they ran the ball, and they were not bad in the passing game either. But two interceptions thrown by Jayden Daniels proved costly in the end.

Heading into this week’s game against the Buffaloes, the Sun Devils will probably look to make a statement as Pac-12 play gets underway. Arizona State will likely try to establish the run even though run defense is Colorado’s strength. But since the Buffaloes are struggling to move the ball, they will have plenty of opportunities to do so.

However, if Daniels throws a pair of interceptions again, that could be the break that Colorado needs to get into the game and make things interesting.

Sports Betting Recommendation

Against Texas A&M, fans saw a Colorado team with promise and potential. But against a lesser team in Minnesota, they looked like they were still pining over their almost-win against the Aggies. Buffaloes head coach Karl Dorrell is a solid coach, but too much needs fixing in just a week. His team will play better this week, but it is next to impossible to think of a scenario where they win this game.

Take Arizona State to win via the moneyline and against the spread. With what the Buffaloes put on the field last week, it is hard to see them getting within two touchdowns. As for the total, that could go either way. But it all depends on how much you believe in the Colorado offense.

The Sun Devils are probably good for 30+ points, but it is hard to say one way or the other if the Buffaloes can muster 14.

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