The Denver Broncos will continue their quest to qualify for the playoffs when they head to Las Vegas to take another team with playoff hopes in the Raiders. According to the oddsmakers, this should be a close, hard-fought game. Caesars Colorado Sportsbook has the game listed as a pick’em, but DraftKings has the Broncos listed as 1-point underdogs.
The growth and prevalence of fantasy football have many fans more in tune with the performance of individual players than teams. While that familiarity and knowledge can be helpful when setting your roster, it can also come in handy when putting money down on player prop bets as an alternative to the typical betting options at sportsbooks.
These are some of our favorites for Sunday’s Broncos vs. Raiders game:
Drew Lock passing touchdowns Under 1.5 (-180 at Caesars)
Drew Lock could have full command of the playbook as a former starter. However, he has not played with the first team much and will not have much of a rapport with his receivers. Factor in that Teddy Bridgewater has thrown two touchdowns in a game just once since Halloween, and it is doubtful Denver has Lock throw much in the red zone.
Drew Lock passing yards Under 205.5 (-115 at DraftKings)
Denver will lean on the run game even more than usual this week with Bridgewater on the bench. Unless they fall behind early, he may not throw enough to crack 200 yards without the help of a few chunk plays.
Derek Carr passing yards Under 252.5 (-115 at BetMGM)
Carr has gone over this number in nine of 14 games this season but in only one of his last three. Denver has a top-6 pass defense that allows 212.7 yards per game this season. Chargers QB Justin Herbert is the only player to throw for 252.5+ against the Broncos defense in the last month, and he had the benefit of a much better group of skill position players to work with.
Carr does not have a lot of talent to work with and will likely have a difficult time throwing for this many yards against Denver.
Josh Jacobs rushing yards Under 54.5 (-115 at BetMGM)
It has not been a good year for Jacobs. After averaging 88.5 yards a game as a rookie and 71 yards a game last season, he is going for barely 45 yards a game this year. In the 12 games he has played in this season, he has rushed for 55+ yards twice. It is unlikely he makes it three times against Denver’s stout run defense.
Courtland Sutton receptions Over 2.5 (+140 at Caesars)
Since Halloween, Sutton has not had more than two catches in a game, but he had at least four in Lock’s five starts back in 2019. As the veteran and someone Lock has played with before, Sutton could be in for a few additional targets this week — enough for him to make at least three catches for the first time since Week 7.
Noah Fant receptions Over 4.5 (+140 at Caesars)
In the seven games this season where he got targeted 6+ times, Fant has had 5+ receptions six times. Tight ends are good safety valves for spot starters like Drew Lock, so it would not be shocking if he gets targeted early and enough against the Raiders.
Noah Fant receiving yards Over 39.5 (+110 at Caesars)
Fant has gone for more than 42.5 yards in six games this season, including each of his last two. If you take the over on his reception total, do the same for his receiving yards total. Tight ends have averaged 62.9 yards per game against the Raiders this season.