The Denver Broncos (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) ended their losing streak at four games, beating the Washington Football Team last week, 17-10, but they will have a hard time starting a new streak this week when they go on the road to face the Dallas Cowboys (6-1 SU, 7-0 ATS).
However, they are currently enjoying a six-game winning streak against the Cowboys. It will not be easy, but can they make it seven in a row?
|Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys, Sunday 11/07 @ 1 PM ET||Best Broncos Odds||Best Cowboys Odds|
|BetRivers||+10.5 (-114)||Spread||-9.5 (-110)||FanDuel|
|BetRivers||Under 49.5 (-108)||Total||Over 49.5 (-106)||FanDuel|
Broncos Struggling Against Stronger Teams
A promising 3-0 start devolved to a 3-4 record before improving to .500 with a win last week. At 4-4, the Denver Broncos are tied for last place in the AFC West with the Kansas City Chiefs, but the first-place Raiders are within reach at 5-2. However, their recipe for success is a hard one to maintain.
Offensively, they are averaging just 234.6 yards per game through the air (17th in the league) and 103.6 on the ground (20th). On the defensive side of the ball, they are a good team (10th against the pass; ninth against the run; second in scoring), but their defensive stats have benefited from four solid performances against some of the worst offenses in the NFL.
The key to a win or loss has been whether the Broncos or their opposition make more big plays. In their four wins, they won the turnover battle 7-2. Three of those turnovers led directly to points.
Against Washington, Denver blocked a pair of field goals and intercepted two passes. The defense also stopped Washington on four of five fourth-down attempts.
In the losses, however, things went the other way. The Broncos lost the turnover battle, 7-1. Four of those came against the Raiders. An interception ended their final drive against the Ravens, Raiders, and Steelers. Two of those occurred in the endzone.
Cowboys Boast Balanced Offense, Dangerous Defense
The Cowboys proved they are more than just QB Dak Prescott (calf injury) with a win over the Minnesota Vikings last week while Cooper Rush played QB, but they have been laying the groundwork for that that all year by becoming the second-best rushing offense in the league (152.0 yards per game). It helps that the offensive line has thrived despite injuries. The emergence of RB Tony Pollard has had some questioning the value of RB Ezekiel Elliot.
As big as their evolving offensive philosophy has been this season, defensive coordinator Dan Quinn’s group has played a more significant role. Under Quinn, the unit has become one of the better run defenses in the league (No. 6 at 88.3 yards per game). That could be due in some small part to their pass defense giving up 278.1 yards per game (28th).
Opponents could also be passing more because they are playing catch-up, and the more teams pass on the Cowboys, the more they risk being picked off by Dallas ball-hawk, Trevon Diggs, who has a league-leading seven interceptions. He returned two for touchdowns.
Dallas is playing well on both sides of the ball. The offense should get Prescott back this week, but Rush appears to be up to the task if they don’t. There is no reason to think the defense will struggle against QB Teddy Bridgewater and the Denver offense.
Denver’s best chance is to force Prescott into making a few mistakes, but that is something he has not done much of this year. Without LB Von Miller, who was traded to the Los Angeles Rams this week, it is hard to say whether the pass rush will have much success. Prescott has only been sacked eight times in six games and twice in his last three.
To win this game, the Broncos will need to play their best game while the Cowboys play one of their worst. There is no reason to think that scenario will play out. Look for the Cowboys to win this one with ease.
Our Pick: Dallas at -9.5