The Denver Broncos (7-8 SU, 7-8 ATS) are not out of the playoff picture, but the margin for error is razor-thin now. They will need to beat the Los Angeles Chargers (8-7 SU, 7-8 ATS) at SoFi Stadium to remain in the race. However, as 6.5-point underdogs, the odds are stacked against the Broncos.
Then again, the Chargers are fresh off a whipping at the hands of the lowly Houston Texans. As enticing as taking the Broncos to win may be, sportsbooks also offer several intriguing prop bets.
The following are some of our favorites for Sunday’s Broncos vs. Chargers game:
Keenan Allen & Javonte Williams to combine for 3+ TDs (+600 at FanDuel)
Allen leads the Chargers in receptions (96), targets (140), and yards (1,042). When the Chargers played the Broncos in Denver a few weeks ago, he had seven receptions on 10 targets for 85 yards but failed to score. Herbert threw for 303 yards and two touchdowns in that game — one to Austin Ekeler and one to Jared Cook.
Denver ran the ball 33 times for 147 yards and two touchdowns the last time they faced the Chargers. However, Williams only saw 14 of those carries and scored one of the touchdowns. He will have to split reps with Melvin Gordon III. Being a dual-threat increases Williams’ chances of scoring, though.
Allen has not been a prolific scorer this season with just five touchdowns, but three have come in the last three games — one against the Chiefs and two against the Bengals. Williams has seven touchdowns on the year (four rushing and three receiving) and has had at least one in four of his last five games.
Chargers To Score First And Win (+110 at BetRivers)
Broncos To Score First And Win (+450 at PointsBet)
Since the Chargers are the better offensive team, no matter who lines up at quarterback for Denver, it would seem like the Chargers are the smart play here. However, since their bye week, the Chargers have scored first five times and lost two of those games.
The Broncos struggles to score points, but if they do score first, their defense is probably having a solid day, which increases their chances of winning the game. When these teams met a few weeks ago, Denver got out to an early 14-0 lead and went on to win 28-13.
Chargers To Score First And Lose (+550 at BetRivers)
Broncos To Score First And Lose (+250 at BetRivers)
With the better offense between the two, the Chargers will probably score first. However, with how their defense has been playing lately, it is not hard to see them go on to lose the game. They did, after all, have the Texans put up 41 points on them last week. LA scored first.
As for the Broncos, if they happen to score first, with how much their offense has struggled this season, it is not hard to see them falling behind and losing the game.
Race To 20 Points
Chargers (-165 at BetMGM); Broncos (+250 at BetMGM); Neither (+650 at PointsBet)
Denver beat the Chargers to 20 the last time these two played, but the Broncos have failed to score 20 points eight times this season. On the other hand, Los Angeles has scored 20+ in 12 of 16 games and has a more prolific offense. It is easier to see them getting to 20 points first than to see Denver scoring 20 outright, let alone first.
Total Punts Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-115 at Caesars)
Your gut may say to go with the over since you know the Denver offense is not good, and the Broncos will probably account for most of them. However, in the earlier meeting, each team had nine drives, and only six ended with a punt. Since their bye week, Chargers games have not had more than eight punts.
It has only happened once in Denver’s last five.